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Prediction markets
698 active markets
· category “Politics”
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How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
10–15s
99%
15s+
1%
5 more
$1.41M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
61%
Flávio Bolsonaro
23%
30 more
$115.3M
Vol.
Oct 4
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
70 trading now
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Starmer - UK PM
99%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
1%
22 more
$67.4M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
72 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$19.9M
Vol.
Jul 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
60 trading now
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$455K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
45%
chance
Yes
No
$684K
Vol.
Jan 3
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
63 trading now
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
99%
December 31
99%
1 more
$468K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Seán Kyne
99%
Sheila Garrity
1%
25 more
$257K
Vol.
Mar 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
73%
chance
Yes
No
$121K
Vol.
Jul 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
50 trading now
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027
40%
December 31
28%
4 more
$20.3M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
59 trading now
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Andy Burnham
99%
Nigel Farage
1%
59 more
$16.6M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
71 trading now
2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate
Marine Le Pen
99%
Jordan Bardella
1%
28 more
$304K
Vol.
Apr 23
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
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